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研究报告:瑞士信贷-每日评论-140205

研报作者: 来自:瑞士信贷 时间:2014-02-07 09:54:45
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研究报告内容

騰訊急跌仍守五百關:候低騰訊購13135。

恆指牛63039/熊60181。

瑞信認股證/牛熊證 網址: |熱線:21017888 電郵: hk.warrants@credit-suisse.com 本結構性產品並無抵押品本結構性產品並無抵押品 2014年2月5日 瑞信認股證/牛熊證信心精選 騰訊急跌仍守五百關:候低騰訊購騰訊急跌仍守五百關:候低騰訊購13135。

恆指牛。

恆指牛63039/熊熊60181。

美國供應管理協會公布上月份製造業指數降至51.3,差過市場預期,是8個月以來最低,反映恐慌情緒的VIX指 數週一晚急升逾16%,美股三大指數急挫超過2%。

港股受外圍拖累,長假期後於週二裂口低開約473點,其後 反覆向下以接近全日低位收市,失守上年八月近21500點密集區位置收報21397.77點,留意去年七月中密集區 底部約21200點能否守穩,反彈阻力參考兩萬二水平。

假期前恆指好倉有資金流入,單日流入超過2300萬元, 累計五天則流入超過2億元,而淡倉同期則流出超過7900元。

恆指牛熊證街貨變化恆指牛熊證街貨變化 牛證街貨集中於收回價21400點以下,而熊證街貨則集中於22700點之上。

恒指恒指2月月4日收市日收市:21397.77點點 60000 恆指(牛證) 收回價:21,250 槓桿比率:/倍 兌換比率:10,000 63037 恆指(牛證) 收回價:21,100 槓桿比率:48.63倍 兌換比率:10,000 63039 恆指(牛證) 收回價:21,000 槓桿比率:38.21倍 兌換比率:10,000 60027 恆指(牛證) 收回價:20,900 槓桿比率:/倍 兌換比率:10,000 60181 恆指(熊證) 收回價:21,977 槓桿比率:/倍 兌換比率:10,000 60173 恆指(熊證) 收回價:22,100 槓桿比率:/倍 兌換比率:10,000 60171 恆指(熊證) 收回價:22,250 槓桿比率:/倍 兌換比率:10,000 68200 恆指(熊證) 收回價:22,451 槓桿比率:15.73倍 兌換比率:10,000 近收回恆指牛熊證近收回恆指牛熊證 牛證編號發行商收回價距離恆生指數行使價兌換比率到期日 64065瑞信瑞信21,3762221,17610,0002014-02-27 68102瑞信瑞信21,3504821,15010,0002014-12-30 64640瑞信瑞信21,3009821,10010,0002014-04-29 67235瑞信瑞信21,3881021,08820,0002014-02-27 69870瑞信瑞信21,28811021,08810,0002014-02-27 60000瑞信瑞信21,25002-05上市21,05010,0002014-11-27 63036瑞信瑞信21,20019821,00010,0002014-05-29 63496瑞信瑞信21,15024820,95010,0002014-04-29 63037瑞信瑞信21,10029820,90010,0002014-05-29 63039瑞信瑞信21,00039820,80010,0002014-05-29 63503瑞信瑞信20,95044820,75010,0002014-04-29 60027瑞信瑞信20,90002-05上市20,70010,0002014-11-27 62792瑞信瑞信20,85454420,65410,0002014-03-28 62837瑞信瑞信20,85054820,65012,0002014-04-29 63040瑞信瑞信20,80059820,60012,0002014-05-29 65957瑞信瑞信20,88851020,58820,0002014-04-29 62838瑞信瑞信20,78861020,58810,0002014-04-29 63041瑞信瑞信20,70069820,50012,0002014-05-29 62892瑞信瑞信20,68371520,48310,0002014-02-27 62794瑞信瑞信20,60079820,40010,0002014-03-28 熊證編號發行商收回價距離恆生指數行使價兌換比率到期日 60181瑞信瑞信21,97702-05上市22,17710,0002014-05-29 60173瑞信瑞信22,10002-05上市22,30010,0002014-05-29 騰訊急跌仍守五百關騰訊急跌仍守五百關 報導指新年期間騰訊(0700)旗下WeChat的電子紅包服務大受歡迎,而海外版WeChat與谷歌合作,使用谷歌帳 號登錄可獲擬]優惠券,或有助美國市場發展。

假期前騰訊見最多資金流入看好,累計五天超過1.1億元流入其認 購證,其股價上週逆市向上再創新高545元,但週二港股急跌騰訊亦週整逾6%,惟仍力守500元關口,候低看 好可留意騰訊購13135,行使價658.88元,14年7月到期。

匯豐中移動跌至低位匯豐中移動跌至低位 匯豐(0005)及中移動(0941)於週二跌市中分別跌至逾半年及逾兩年低位。

權重股匯豐相關認購證於假期前有顯 著的資金流入,累計五天超過2900萬元,候低看好可留意匯豐購13349,行使價86.9元,14年6月到期。

另外, 有報導指中移動有意入股英國電信運營商沃達豐(Vodafone)5至10%權益,希望可以與沃達豐合組合資企業,其 股價已回落至2011年底之水平,候低看好可留意中移購13374,行使價78.98元,14年8月到期。

13135 騰訊(認購) 行使價:659 實際槓桿:7.00倍 到期日:2014-07-28 13349 匯豐(認購) 行使價:86.9 實際槓桿:18.23倍 到期日:2014-06-24 13374 中移(認購) 行使價:78.98 實際槓桿:/ 到期日:2014-08-04 13289 金沙(認購) 行使價:73.9 實際槓桿:8.12倍 到期日:2014-05-26 28285 金軟(認購) 行使價:29.28 實際槓桿:5.87倍 到期日:2014-04-28 13256 銀河(認購) 行使價:82.8 實際槓桿:2.410倍 到期日:2015-12-28 12748 南中(認購) 行使價:10 實際槓桿:11.73倍 到期日:2014-06-30 25238 南中(認購) 行使價:8.89 實際槓桿:7.55倍 到期日:2014-08-01 12660 A中(認購) 行使價:10.22 實際槓桿:14.03倍 到期日:2014-05-30 28873 A中(認購) 行使價:9.39 實際槓桿:5.21倍 到期日:2015-12-24 12488 平安(認購) 行使價:67.55 實際槓桿:12.36倍 到期日:2014-04-28 13177 建行(認購) 行使價:5.89 實際槓桿:13.62倍 到期日:2014-07-07 恆指牛熊證街貨分怖圖恆指牛熊證街貨分怖圖市場資金流向圖市場資金流向圖 牛熊證剩餘價值牛熊證剩餘價值恆指輪證專區恆指輪證專區 瑞信指數牛熊證焦點瑞信指數牛熊證焦點恒指恒指2月月4日收市日收市: 21397.77點點 編號相關資產牛證/熊證收回價行使價槓桿比率(倍)兌換比率溢價(%)到期日 62794恆指牛證20,60020,40020.3810,0000.22014-03-28 63041恆指牛證20,70020,50025.4712,000 -0.32014-05-29 65957恆指牛證20,88820,58825.4720,0000.12014-04-29 62838恆指牛證20,78820,58826.4210,00002014-04-29 63040恆指牛證20,80020,60026.2212,0000.12014-05-29 62837恆指牛證20,85020,65027.0212,0000.22014-04-29 62792恆指牛證20,85420,65429.3110,000 -0.12014-03-28 60027恆指牛證20,90020,700 / 10,00002014-11-27 63503恆指牛證20,95020,75030.1410,0000.32014-04-29 63039恆指牛證21,00020,80038.2110,000 -0.22014-05-29 63037恆指牛證21,10020,90048.6310,000 -0.32014-05-29 63496恆指牛證21,15020,95046.5210,0000.12014-04-29 63036恆指牛證21,20021,00064.8410,000 -0.32014-05-29 60000恆指牛證21,25021,050 / 10,00002014-11-27 64640恆指牛證21,30021,10079.2510,000 -0.12014-04-29 60181恆指熊證21,97722,177 / 10,00002014-05-29 60173恆指熊證22,10022,300 / 10,00002014-05-29 60171恆指熊證22,25022,450 / 10,00002014-05-29 60170恆指熊證22,40022,600 / 10,00002014-05-29 68200恆指熊證22,45122,65115.7310,0000.52014-05-29 60169恆指熊證22,50022,700 / 10,00002014-05-29 68201恆指熊證22,55022,75014.5610,0000.62014-05-29 60168恆指熊證22,65022,850 / 10,00002014-05-29 68206恆指熊證22,70022,90013.2110,0000.62014-05-29 67857恆指熊證22,73422,93413.3710,0000.32014-04-29 68207恆指熊證22,80023,00011.5710,0001.22014-05-29 67854恆指熊證22,85023,05012.3010,0000.42014-04-29 68208恆指熊證22,90023,10011.6310,0000.62014-05-29 67444恆指熊證22,92923,12911.8210,0000.42014-05-29 67508恆指熊證22,93023,13012.3812,000 -02014-04-29 瑞信股份牛熊證焦點瑞信股份牛熊證焦點 編號相關資產牛證/熊證收回價行使價槓桿比率(倍)兌換比率溢價(%)到期日 瑞信指數認股證焦點瑞信指數認股證焦點 編號相關資產認購/認沽行使價價格實際槓桿(倍)兌換比率引伸波幅(%)到期日 11376中企認購11,8000.03810.334,00022.802014-10-30 29285中企認沽11,8000.3453.3207,00034.512014-05-29 12388恆指認購22,6000.07314.526,80017.592014-06-27 12819恆指認沽21,9000.2258.626,00022.522014-05-29 瑞信股份認股證焦點瑞信股份認股證焦點 編號相關資產板塊認購/認沽行使價價格實際槓桿(倍)兌換比率引伸波幅(%)到期日 29215和黃藍籌股認購113.880.07515.051029.022014-05-02 11814和黃藍籌股認購105.880.27010.351027.002014-06-23 11337和黃藍籌股認沽89.980.24011.921025.662014-04-28 27794利豐藍籌股認購11.270.0955.211030.932014-12-24 28878港交藍籌股認購126.70.1384.64310022.912015-12-24 12353港交藍籌股認購1450.10314.651025.702014-05-30 29269港交藍籌股認沽116.880.5108.851026.852014-05-27 29765思捷藍籌股認購18.20.0596.141050.702014-06-23 28932思捷藍籌股認沽12.180.1822.2471055.332014-12-24 13698中移電訊股認購70.90.0696.2010017.592015-06-22 13374中移電訊股認購78.98 / / 100.0002014-08-04 28997中聯電訊股認購11.90.0635.631035.812014-10-27 26906中興電訊股認購16.90.1235.341046.932014-06-30 12879騰訊網絡股認購5680.2008.4910040.892014-04-30 13135騰訊網絡股認購6590.1657.0010040.672014-07-28 11991騰訊網絡股認沽438.80.1437.4010036.642014-06-09 12581中煤煤炭股認購50.0609.76133.862014-06-30 29000兗煤煤炭股認購70.0276.241038.662014-08-29 12583神華煤炭股認購25.90.0457.511034.172014-09-29 12437江銅金屬股認購14.90.1534.3281042.402014-10-27 28478江銅金屬股認購16.70.0477.451040.692014-06-23 26907江銅金屬股認沽14.080.1514.5161040.872014-06-06 28153鞍鋼金屬股認購5.880.1757.18150.022014-05-12 28380鞍鋼金屬股認購7.080.1346.23149.622014-07-28 12433新地本地地產股認購103.90.16713.531022.742014-06-10 11468新地本地地產股認購1120.04218.381022.202014-05-26 11469新地本地地產股認沽84.880.22010.131025.752014-06-16 28877新發本地地產股認購100.0835.611032.672014-09-29 28152恒地本地地產股認購51.880.01616.201032.172014-04-22 12349領匯本地地產股認購38.850.1079.601022.382014-09-29 12443長實本地地產股認購128.80.19513.451021.152014-07-07 12478長實本地地產股認沽1000.2708.591029.872014-06-30 12663中壽內地保險股認購240.0499.701030.552014-06-30 11087中壽內地保險股認沽21.980.2604.7121032.022014-06-30 11950中化石油石化股認購6.980.08812.28123.882014-07-14 29007中化石油石化股認購7.380.04813.51129.362014-05-26 12482中油石油石化股認購9.290.02816.44125.972014-05-30 11089中油石油石化股認沽10.160.2902.2431038.192014-06-30 29001中燃石油石化股認購100.2362.8521060.002014-10-27 11629中行內地銀行股認購3.810.05011.63122.312014-08-29 28988中重基建股認購80.1142.5851052.102015-12-28 29525南車基建股認購70.0523.9341048.992014-12-22 13084信行內地銀行股認購4.380.0978.75131.342014-07-28 13211工行內地銀行股認購5.210.09412.32120.852014-07-28 28990廣汽汽車股認購9.510.0713.8981051.652014-11-28 13177建行內地銀行股認購5.890.08013.62121.422014-07-07 11940吉利汽車股認購4.490.0786.48148.022014-07-28 12488平安內地保險股認購67.550.12712.361030.142014-04-28 11381平安內地保險股認沽58.850.3606.631033.692014-05-30 12977國材建材水泥股認購8.510.1243.0451041.612015-10-30 11810國材建材水泥股認購8.890.1542.5681044.102016-06-30 27474國材建材水泥股認沽6.580.12111.94141.022014-03-18 11895人保內地保險股認購4.380.03510.39131.002014-07-28 29780株車基建股認購32.880.0477.421051.992014-05-30 13315昆能石油石化股認購15.980.2409.06132.192014-07-31 12438昆能石油石化股認購14.90.1034.8011029.962015-06-23 27744旭光建材水泥股認購1.880.0416.42150.142014-07-03 24858招行內地銀行股認購16.3250.01911.269.77532.882014-05-26 28479民行內地銀行股認購8.890.0555.051036.232014-12-22 12825民行內地銀行股認購9.880.1707.80138.112014-07-28 28996東風汽車股認購13.040.0924.5441042.362014-11-24 13051海油石油石化股認購13.20.0448.151023.422014-12-01 28837海油石油石化股認沽13.660.2852.5671037.562014-10-31 28923海螺建材水泥股認購33.90.1346.721037.312014-08-01 28986華晨汽車股認購15.520.0764.6341051.062014-09-29 11889華晨汽車股認購13.820.1613.3351054.792014-12-22 12919長汽汽車股認購48.90.0827.221047.242014-06-23 13083農行內地銀行股認購3.810.06111.56124.252014-07-21 欲了解更多有關瑞信認股證的資料,請瀏覽我們的網站或致電21017888。

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該等文件於瑞士信貸(香港)有限公司(現址為香港九龍柯士甸道西1號環球貿易廣場88樓)可供查閱。

有關補充上市文件已提供結構性產品流通量提供者之資 料,該流通量提供者可能是結構性產品之唯一市場參與者。

Disclaimer: The above information is provided by Credit Suisse (Hong Kong) Limited for reference only and should not be construed as any advice, recommendation, promotion, marketing, invitation, offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any structured products or other securities. The price of the structured products may fall in value as rapidly as it may rise and investors may sustain a total loss of their investment at maturity or before then. The structured products are non-collateralised products. If the Issuer is insolvent or defaults, investors may not recover part or all of the amount due. CBBCs have a mandatory call feature and may be terminated early, in such case, (i) an investor of category NCBBCs will not receive any cash payment; (ii) the residual value for category RCBBCs may be zero. Disclaimer in relation to the use of Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng China Enterprise Index can be found in the relevant listing documents. Past performance of the structured products should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance. Before making any investment, investors should understand all the risks involved and consult their own independent professional advisors. Investors should carefully review the Base Listing Document, Addendum (if any) and the relevant Supplemental Listing Documents, and understand the general terms and conditions and the applicable product conditions of the structured products, together with the risk factors and all other information relevant to the structured products therein. These documents are available for inspection at the office of Credit Suisse (Hong Kong) Limited (address: Level 88, International Commerce Centre,1 Austin Road West, Kowloon, Hong Kong). The relevant listing document provides the information regarding the liquidity provider. The liquidity provider may be the only market participant of the structured products. 個人資料之收集及用途個人資料之收集及用途 閣下收到此電郵是因為閣下曾參與瑞信認股證活動,自願留下個人資料,及同意我們或其他服務供應商(如活動舉辦團體)把閣下的個人資料用作:推廣瑞信之投資 產品、服務及投資講座和會議之用途,及向閣下發出有關瑞信之投資產品、服務及投資講座和會議之直接推廣資訊。

我們亦可能把閣下的個人資料用作資料分析 及用作符合監管機構之命令或要求。

請閣下詳閱瑞信於其香港結構性產品網站上的“私隱政策”及並明白閣下根據香港個人資料(私隱) 條例所擁有的權利。

閣下可隨時致電瑞信認股證熱線(852) 21017888或發電郵致list.ib-warrants-data-protection-officer-hongkong@credit-suisse.com聯絡本行個 人資料專員以索取、檢視及更改閣下提供的個人資料,或取消閣下已提供之同意確認。

Collection and Use of Personal Data You have received this email because you have voluntarily left us with your personal data earlier through previous Credit Suisse structured products events and have given your consent for us or other third party service providers (e.g. event organisers) to use your personal data to send you direct marketing materials relating to our investment products, services, investment seminars and conferences. We may also use your personal data to perform statistical analysis and in connection with compliance with any order or request of a regulatory body. Please refer to the privacy policy on our Hong Kong structured products website and understand your rights under the Personal Data (Privacy) Ordinance in Hong Kong. You may access, review, or revise your personal data, or withdraw your consent at any time by contacting our Data Protection Officer (Warrants) through calling our CS warrants hotline 85221017888 or sending an email to the following email address: list.ib-warrants-data-protection-officer-hongkong@credit-suisse.com

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